PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

7d82

0xcb2a66dec3daca929f42a60b0a5d2ee8a5a2bb68

Realised P&L
$-67.86
Volume
$100.7k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$36.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration90.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.002$29.88$104.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 7? · No0.9981.000$1.80+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 7? · No0.9991.000$1.38+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7? · Yes0.9981.000$1.37+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 7? · No0.9981.000$1.29+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 7? · Yes0.9941.000$1.25+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 07:52Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 7?BUY0.9979993563$1.29
09-07 07:51Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 7?BUY0.999$1.38
09-07 07:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 7?BUY0.9939999182$1.24
09-07 07:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7?BUY0.998$1.37
09-07 07:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 7?BUY0.998$1.80
08-09 10:08Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$1.14
08-09 10:07Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 9?BUY0.996$1.13
08-09 10:07Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 9?BUY0.9969999991$1.13
08-09 10:07Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 9?BUY0.9989992309$1.13
08-09 10:06Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 9?BUY0.9989992309$1.13
08-09 10:06Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 9?BUY0.9989992309$1.13
08-09 10:05Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 9?BUY0.998$1.13
08-09 10:03LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$7.92
08-09 09:55LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.8799999899$6.98
06-28 12:48Will "Danny Go!: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?BUY0.999$1.11