7d82
0xcb2a66dec3daca929f42a60b0a5d2ee8a5a2bb68
- Realised P&L
- $-67.86
- Volume
- $100.7k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $36.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $29.88 | −$104.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 7? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.80 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.38 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.37 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 7? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.29 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 7? · Yes | 0.994 | 1.000 | $1.25 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.56at 0.760UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)
- +$1.92at 0.963Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.90at 0.885LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
- +$0.54at 0.989Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
- +$0.30at 0.349Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 07:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.9979993563 | $1.29 |
| 09-07 07:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.38 |
| 09-07 07:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.9939999182 | $1.24 |
| 09-07 07:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.37 |
| 09-07 07:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.80 |
| 08-09 10:08 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.14 |
| 08-09 10:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.13 |
| 08-09 10:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.9969999991 | $1.13 |
| 08-09 10:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.9989992309 | $1.13 |
| 08-09 10:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.9989992309 | $1.13 |
| 08-09 10:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.9989992309 | $1.13 |
| 08-09 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.13 |
| 08-09 10:03 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $7.92 |
| 08-09 09:55 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.8799999899 | $6.98 |
| 06-28 12:48 | Will "Danny Go!: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.11 |