jjnnuu23
0xcb1a19e58a8f5691fc776c4bbf9b16c8977cd149
- Realised P&L
- $210.38
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $40.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.961 | $35.50 | +$1.50 |
| Concrete FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.780 | 0.870 | $5.31 | +$0.55 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$206.03at 0.430Pistons vs. Celtics
- +$0.89at 0.983Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.55at 0.988Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.36at 0.993Will Solana reach $300 in May?
- +$0.33at 0.900Rabby airdrop in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:12 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.99 |
| 08-04 12:12 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.99 |
| 07-29 13:12 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 13:12 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-07 13:57 | Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts? | BUY | 0.83999979 | $1.60 |
| 02-07 13:55 | US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999822 | $1.40 |
| 02-07 13:54 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099995859 | $2.00 |
| 02-07 13:54 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999989 | $34.00 |
| 10-03 08:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.983 | $51.69 |
| 03-31 06:16 | Manchester City wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.88 |
| 03-31 06:16 | Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.996 | $29.00 |
| 01-21 05:53 | Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9879999999 | $45.17 |
| 01-21 05:53 | Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.996 | $41.72 |
| 01-21 05:53 | Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 12-16 10:17 | Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.994 | $41.64 |