PolyBot

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Traders

0xcb15241baf1d191ad5685e169406109558c45934

0xcb15241baf1d191ad5685e169406109558c45934

Realised P&L
$1.15
Volume
$269.24
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$2.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No0.7420.729$0.98−$0.02
Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · Yes0.2400.235$0.98−$0.02
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · No0.7800.585$0.75−$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 04:21Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.7419999421$1.00
10-15 19:09Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-15 10:55Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-15 02:55Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.5$1.00
10-13 06:50Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-12 22:50Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
10-11 14:49Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-11 06:48Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-10 21:43Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.32$1.00
10-10 13:34Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-10 03:56Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-09 19:02Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-09 10:59Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-09 02:59S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-08 18:58Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.6799996464$1.00