PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

moscowchill

0xcb14d01699fe1a7905d3f02b84689a963972f66d

Realised P&L
$-99.10
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$36.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2430.100$34.25$49.10
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1220.007$1.14$18.86
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? · No0.9700.955$0.98$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 22:45Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1464912281$8.35
06-09 13:10Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
06-09 13:07Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1801357366$5.00
06-09 13:07Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2532335843$10.00
06-09 13:04Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?SELL0.009$0.33
06-09 13:03Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2471527997$20.00
06-09 13:03Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.110765247$15.00
06-09 13:01Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.054$60.34
05-11 10:16Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0789999986$50.00
05-11 10:15Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?BUY0.1094590663$4.00
05-11 10:02Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2742382501$40.00
05-11 09:58Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0779999982$37.79
05-11 09:55Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?BUY0.97$1.00