moscowchill
0xcb14d01699fe1a7905d3f02b84689a963972f66d
- Realised P&L
- $-99.10
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $36.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.100 | $34.25 | −$49.10 |
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.007 | $1.14 | −$18.86 |
| Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.955 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.94at 0.116Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
- +$-34.35at 0.082Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:45 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1464912281 | $8.35 |
| 06-09 13:10 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 13:07 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1801357366 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 13:07 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2532335843 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 13:04 | Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.33 |
| 06-09 13:03 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2471527997 | $20.00 |
| 06-09 13:03 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.110765247 | $15.00 |
| 06-09 13:01 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $60.34 |
| 05-11 10:16 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999986 | $50.00 |
| 05-11 10:15 | Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? | BUY | 0.1094590663 | $4.00 |
| 05-11 10:02 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2742382501 | $40.00 |
| 05-11 09:58 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0779999982 | $37.79 |
| 05-11 09:55 | Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |