PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

timothygeorge

0xcb13afee5c2d2b13c3d2c42fc0d03515554ed6d3

Realised P&L
$-47.56
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$46.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration81.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Panthers (-2.5) · Panthers0.5801.000$29.09+$12.22
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK end in a draw? · No0.8500.865$7.00+$0.12
Will STRC hit $100 by October 31? · Yes0.5600.220$5.53−$8.55
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026? · Yes0.7300.735$4.41+$0.03
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks0.5800.000$0.00−$18.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 12:16Will Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK end in a draw?BUY0.8499999938$6.88
01-31 13:29Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?BUY0.9989998553$6.11
01-31 13:27Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$9.06
01-30 16:05Will Solana dip to $80 in January?BUY0.999$15.13
01-30 15:35Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$9.09
01-30 14:33Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January?BUY0.999$16.46
01-30 12:43Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January?BUY0.999$80.92
12-30 14:50Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?BUY0.999$1.38
12-30 14:24Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.998$3.57
12-30 12:46Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?BUY0.999$11.33
12-30 09:22Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.9969999503$12.67
12-30 00:57Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?BUY0.999$18.06
12-29 22:50Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?BUY0.999$41.62
12-29 21:09Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$48.46
10-30 21:21Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$39.64