PolyBot

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Traders

0xcb0eb255387c97222d45b7447cb562769b0a33af

0xcb0eb255387c97222d45b7447cb562769b0a33af

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$584.4k
Markets traded
2,372
Open portfolio
$5.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,372
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · Yes0.0130.044$3.40+$2.40
Will Mario Moreno Arcos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · Yes0.0070.011$1.57+$0.57
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026? · Yes0.0230.051$0.83+$0.46
Will Fabiola Alanís Sámano win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? · Yes0.0230.002$0.10−$1.50
Will Magnus Carlberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? · Yes0.0390.001$0.04−$2.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 01:00Will Mario Moreno Arcos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?BUY0.007$1.00
09-14 22:29Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?BUY0.0130892499$1.00
09-13 08:46Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?BUY0.0344378284$0.79
09-13 06:33Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?BUY0.014131654$1.00
09-12 17:04Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?SELL0.084$1.68
09-12 10:17Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?SELL0.117$1.40
09-11 21:14Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?BUY0.023$0.10
09-11 21:14Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?BUY0.0229999999$1.00
09-11 13:58Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?BUY0.0285179574$1.00
09-11 08:42Will Magnus Carlberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?BUY0.0316831683$1.00
09-10 18:57Will Fabiola Alanís Sámano win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?BUY0.0169999998$1.00
09-10 18:28Will Magnus Carlberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?BUY0.0429999999$1.00
09-10 18:28Will Magnus Carlberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?BUY0.0470865215$1.00
09-10 11:38Will Drake release a new album by December 31?SELL0.54$0.54
09-10 11:38Will "Beef" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.991$0.99