PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dawnga

0xcb0df278d92735b7205bac17169756d2362468a3

Realised P&L
$-1.34
Volume
$11.2k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$5.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.9990.998$5.99$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 06:16Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.999$6.00
04-29 07:11Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 29?BUY0.999$6.59
04-23 06:06Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.999$8.64
04-09 07:57Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 6-12?BUY0.9969999357$7.15
01-22 08:21Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.998$374.17
01-22 05:46Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.999$374.55
01-22 05:44Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?SELL0.98893055$318.82
01-22 02:57Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?BUY0.9921918951$319.88
01-21 08:53Nets vs. KnicksBUY0.8199999967$19.99
01-21 08:13Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.993$353.49
01-21 05:39Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.994$353.85
01-21 05:36Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.997$319.01
01-21 02:11Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.997$319.02
01-20 08:51Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.997$0.13
01-20 08:50Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.997$351.73