Dawnga
0xcb0df278d92735b7205bac17169756d2362468a3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.34
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $5.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $5.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.39at 0.820Nets vs. Knicks
- +$4.33at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$3.60at 0.749Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 6-12?
- +$0.13at 0.980Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:16 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 04-29 07:11 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.59 |
| 04-23 06:06 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.64 |
| 04-09 07:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.9969999357 | $7.15 |
| 01-22 08:21 | Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $374.17 |
| 01-22 05:46 | Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.999 | $374.55 |
| 01-22 05:44 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January? | SELL | 0.98893055 | $318.82 |
| 01-22 02:57 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9921918951 | $319.88 |
| 01-21 08:53 | Nets vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $19.99 |
| 01-21 08:13 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $353.49 |
| 01-21 05:39 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $353.85 |
| 01-21 05:36 | Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.997 | $319.01 |
| 01-21 02:11 | Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.997 | $319.02 |
| 01-20 08:51 | Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.997 | $0.13 |
| 01-20 08:50 | Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.997 | $351.73 |