byikg6jhvgf
0xcb07bac0264567f117407f618eb42d720da1a553
- Realised P&L
- $278.95
- Volume
- $32.8k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $877.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? · No | 0.995 | 0.995 | $776.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.994 | $100.56 | +$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.50at 0.905Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$56.15at 0.270Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$52.92at 0.880Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$43.38at 0.910Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$20.00at 0.460Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 05:53 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9949935972 | $777.00 |
| 09-21 02:21 | Will Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9983143019 | $776.00 |
| 09-03 03:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-03 03:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999988 | $100.00 |
| 08-22 02:13 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 08-22 02:05 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $23.41 |
| 08-10 12:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $178.00 |
| 08-10 12:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August? | BUY | 0.9939999988 | $650.00 |
| 07-17 02:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.9989444358 | $827.00 |
| 07-08 10:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $827.00 |
| 07-02 15:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $826.34 |
| 06-16 03:05 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $95.00 |
| 06-04 03:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $94.00 |
| 05-27 05:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.989 | $607.50 |
| 05-13 05:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.984 | $598.00 |