PolyBot

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Traders

trader-cb01cb0d

0xcb01cb0d4ec034a3923bbbb638891010666365c0

Realised P&L
$12.48
Volume
$24.5k
Markets traded
745
Open portfolio
$748.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded745
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 21? · No0.8150.820$56.13+$0.35
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 21? · Yes0.4400.520$32.12+$4.97
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 21? · No0.5640.660$27.27+$3.96
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 21? · No0.5650.515$20.60−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 21? · Yes0.4700.480$19.20+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21? · Yes0.5630.475$18.45−$3.43
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 21? · No0.8090.820$18.45+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 21? · No0.5150.460$18.40−$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 21? · No0.5200.455$18.20−$2.60
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 21? · No0.6000.560$18.03−$1.29
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 21? · No0.8800.875$17.50−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 21? · No0.8040.950$17.42+$2.67
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 21? · No0.6850.585$16.71−$2.86
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 21? · No0.8600.825$16.50−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 21? · No0.8200.805$16.10−$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 09:17Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 13?SELL0.998$1.95
09-13 09:17Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 13?SELL0.995$9.43
09-13 09:17Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 13?SELL0.999$7.29
09-13 09:17Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 13?SELL0.996$17.10
09-13 09:16Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 13?SELL0.996$24.94
09-13 09:15Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 13?SELL0.998$14.10
09-13 09:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 13?SELL0.999$19.79
09-13 09:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 13?SELL0.999$10.87
09-12 22:49Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 12?SELL0.9907363344$24.65
09-12 22:49Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 12?SELL0.999$19.13
09-12 20:47Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 12?SELL0.99$17.07
09-12 20:47Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 12?SELL0.999$26.16
09-12 20:47Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 13?SELL0.76$19.69
09-12 20:47Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 12?SELL0.997$16.87
09-12 20:47Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 12?SELL0.999$16.50