6089261455
0xcb01ca833ffd79a8c8e349c45aaff25ebce9ead3
- Realised P&L
- $-21.4k
- Volume
- $2.28M
- Markets traded
- 234
- Open portfolio
- $481.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded234
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.5kat 0.032Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$11.0kat 0.295US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$10.0kat 0.167Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$3.9kat 0.287Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$2.3kat 0.370US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:42 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0166941215 | $7.09 |
| 11-01 17:41 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $415.42 |
| 11-01 17:32 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.21 | $92.19 |
| 11-01 17:32 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.984 | $5.14 |
| 11-01 17:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.22 | $110.00 |
| 10-29 14:54 | Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.9222321579 | $54.66 |
| 10-29 09:20 | Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0510105899 | $40.00 |
| 10-28 06:01 | Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.9012233145 | $363.05 |
| 10-28 05:57 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.05 | $213.86 |
| 10-28 05:55 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.9860035922 | $5.5k |
| 10-27 20:16 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.4k |
| 10-27 19:40 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.329999999 | $102.00 |
| 10-27 19:40 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | SELL | 0.0694543421 | $101.52 |
| 10-27 18:54 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.32 | $197.00 |
| 10-27 18:53 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1570937653 | $100.00 |