61452
0xcaf97e15b42090b277142d467313ab394531876e
- Realised P&L
- $-460.47
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 419
- Open portfolio
- $0.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded419
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.89at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?
- +$31.21at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?
- +$25.40at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?
- +$18.58at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?
- +$17.41at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3877849462 | $5.41 |
| 10-02 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.0868914707 | $3.07 |
| 10-02 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.86 |
| 10-02 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.1225815648 | $3.87 |
| 10-01 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.93 |
| 10-01 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.77 | $5.92 |
| 10-01 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0892773333 | $3.35 |
| 10-01 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 09-30 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.28861678 | $5.09 |
| 09-30 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.63 |
| 09-17 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.88 |
| 09-14 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-14 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 09-14 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.22 | $0.75 |
| 08-18 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.24 |