PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

61452

0xcaf97e15b42090b277142d467313ab394531876e

Realised P&L
$-460.47
Volume
$24.6k
Markets traded
419
Open portfolio
$0.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded419
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 14:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 2?BUY0.3877849462$5.41
10-02 05:30Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.0868914707$3.07
10-02 04:27Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.18$3.86
10-02 04:27Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 2?BUY0.1225815648$3.87
10-01 16:08Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.9$5.93
10-01 14:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.77$5.92
10-01 05:25Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.0892773333$3.35
10-01 04:29Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.22$1.76
09-30 14:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30?BUY0.28861678$5.09
09-30 04:28Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30?BUY0.15$5.63
09-17 05:05Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17?BUY0.25$3.88
09-14 05:28Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 14?BUY0.16$1.60
09-14 05:27Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 14?BUY0.005$0.03
09-14 05:27Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 14?BUY0.22$0.75
08-18 07:10Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 18?BUY0.81$3.24