PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcAF1946d13A1A7967f5d3c76780D012E56b09ad1-1775146417402

0xcaf1946d13a1a7967f5d3c76780d012e56b09ad1

Realised P&L
$12.8k
Volume
$2.46M
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$995.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.940$943.42+$50.18
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0140.016$39.67+$4.96
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? · No0.8000.966$11.98+$2.05
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$1.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 18:39Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9346173237$14.2k
09-04 15:23Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$3.4k
09-03 21:29Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?SELL0.999$15.5k
09-01 22:33Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?BUY0.961$19.95
09-01 21:44Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?BUY0.968$4.3k
05-12 21:30Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?BUY0.9$18.4k
05-09 17:45Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?BUY0.8996278215$2.0k
05-08 14:18Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?BUY0.8567270366$1.7k
04-22 17:17Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?BUY0.1125709993$1.0k
04-19 19:42US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL0.8$19.7k
04-18 11:23US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.6964611969$21.5k
04-17 21:19Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?BUY0.4432423052$7.4k
04-17 17:49US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.8$309.06
04-17 17:47US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.8$609.60
04-17 17:47US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.8$172.10