PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Ledinonciateur

0xcae54f3c2aa1d95f008f302b1a1c40afdb36a796

Realised P&L
$618.41
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$525.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 13:58Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 15?BUY0.9188973228$100.00
10-13 13:57Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.589999998$100.00
10-13 13:43Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8999999928$100.00
10-13 13:32Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?BUY0.9821948829$1000.00
10-13 13:26Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.9439999985$10.00
10-09 09:19Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8729999999$315.00
10-09 09:16Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 9?BUY0.9683495275$1.3k
09-03 10:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on September 3?BUY0.9681728877$880.00
09-03 09:50Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?BUY0.9832884229$700.00
07-27 14:08Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.915762005$88.50
07-27 13:59Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?BUY0.8699999999$100.00
07-27 13:48Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?BUY0.95$100.00
07-18 11:12Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 18?BUY0.961859203$139.50
07-17 16:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?BUY0.96$1.00
07-16 17:50Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?BUY0.8839183509$122.00