0xcae51221282c4523a6b279dacc2ebe4d6653de3f
- Realised P&L
- $-7.12
- Volume
- $174.33
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Up | 0.750 | 1.000 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes | 0.360 | 0.140 | $0.98 | −$1.54 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.31at 0.773BNB Up or Down - September 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$-0.07at 0.763Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$-0.13at 0.883Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?
- +$-0.31at 0.192Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
- +$-1.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 14:10 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5499999828 | $1.60 |
| 09-19 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $1.05 |
| 09-19 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:08 | Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.36 | $2.52 |
| 09-17 20:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.98 |
| 09-17 19:36 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.19 | $4.22 |
| 09-17 19:35 | BNB Up or Down - September 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 03:26 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1799999649 | $4.00 |
| 09-05 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.329999948 | $4.00 |