mirror2
0xcaddd65bcf4159ce17be74dd0aa02abbe8ddd346
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $277.5k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.750Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)
- +$2.4kat 0.830Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$600.00at 0.880Will France win on 2026-07-18?
- +$470.00at 0.130MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
- +$330.45at 0.154Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 21:46 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.83 | $6.22 |
| 07-26 21:34 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.849 | $12.79 |
| 07-26 21:33 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.849 | $12.79 |
| 07-26 21:27 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.859 | $34.36 |
| 07-26 21:24 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.859 | $34.36 |
| 07-26 21:23 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.859 | $4.29 |
| 07-26 21:23 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.819 | $6.72 |
| 07-26 21:22 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.811 | $24.33 |
| 07-19 21:04 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.04 | $40.00 |
| 07-18 22:41 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.468 | $936.02 |
| 07-18 00:00 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 07-15 20:58 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.978390625 | $782.71 |
| 07-15 20:51 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.975 | $1.9k |
| 07-14 20:56 | France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $2.0k |
| 07-14 20:10 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.355 | $35.50 |