mirror2
0xcaddd65bcf4159ce17be74dd0aa02abbe8ddd346
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $282.1k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $205.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.830Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$600.00at 0.880Will France win on 2026-07-18?
- +$470.00at 0.130MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
- +$330.45at 0.154Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$310.00at 0.806England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 20:53 | Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 3 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 09-17 14:40 | Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch | SELL | 0.007196955 | $0.44 |
| 09-17 14:39 | Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch | SELL | 0.0098 | $1.22 |
| 09-17 14:38 | Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch | SELL | 0.0343120737 | $5.89 |
| 09-17 14:38 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | SELL | 0.0892868085 | $15.74 |
| 09-17 14:36 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | SELL | 0.125 | $2.63 |
| 09-17 04:36 | Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch | BUY | 0.0278605242 | $9.98 |
| 09-17 04:35 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | BUY | 0.1 | $1.63 |
| 09-17 04:35 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | BUY | 0.0681657459 | $12.34 |
| 09-16 14:05 | Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch | BUY | 0.9872468137 | $244.00 |
| 09-16 14:04 | Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch | BUY | 0.9794728576 | $1.4k |
| 07-26 21:46 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.83 | $6.22 |
| 07-26 21:34 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.849 | $12.79 |
| 07-26 21:33 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.849 | $12.79 |
| 07-26 21:27 | Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch | BUY | 0.859 | $34.36 |