Kalu9873
0xcadcd54928cfc079956762e17414139a95dc0a00
- Realised P&L
- $6.45
- Volume
- $468.51
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $42.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? · Yes | 0.857 | 0.895 | $15.67 | +$0.67 |
| Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.980 | $11.80 | +$1.80 |
| Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.954 | $10.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.395 | $4.34 | −$5.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.26at 0.871Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?
- +$2.96at 0.865Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
- +$1.70at 0.748Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?
- +$1.06at 0.826Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?
- +$0.93at 0.913Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 16:11 | Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 16:10 | Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 16:10 | Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 16:09 | Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 14:37 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 21:12 | Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 14:16 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9559999128 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:12 | Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.977 | $5.25 |
| 10-06 04:59 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | SELL | 0.993 | $23.08 |
| 10-06 03:30 | Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8599999243 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 01:08 | Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 01:08 | Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9298418858 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 18:34 | Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 18:34 | Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 18:27 | Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.96 |