PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kalu9873

0xcadcd54928cfc079956762e17414139a95dc0a00

Realised P&L
$6.45
Volume
$468.51
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$42.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? · Yes0.8570.895$15.67+$0.67
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? · Yes0.8300.980$11.80+$1.80
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? · Yes0.9300.954$10.25+$0.25
Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava? · Yes0.9100.395$4.34−$5.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 16:11Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
10-08 16:10Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.86$5.00
10-08 16:10Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
10-08 16:09Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-07 14:37Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.9869999996$5.00
10-06 21:12Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.8399999933$5.00
10-06 14:16Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.9559999128$5.00
10-06 13:12Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.977$5.25
10-06 04:59Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?SELL0.993$23.08
10-06 03:30Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?BUY0.8599999243$5.00
10-06 01:08Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?BUY0.8499999915$5.00
10-06 01:08Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?BUY0.9298418858$5.00
10-05 18:34Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?BUY0.86$5.00
10-05 18:34Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-05 18:27Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?SELL0.998$10.96