Leadermgimo
0xcadb57bf520361bea63194be5084164d488bbd5c
- Realised P&L
- $-39.85
- Volume
- $882.20
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $34.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 3? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.545 | $10.90 | +$0.90 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.098 | $6.29 | +$1.29 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.105 | $5.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $4.69 | −$0.31 |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? · No | 0.140 | 0.110 | $3.93 | −$1.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.245 | $3.86 | −$1.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 29? · Yes | 0.462 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 25? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.16at 0.552Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on October 29?
- +$15.52at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 24?
- +$9.48at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 1?
- +$8.95at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 19?
- +$4.48at 0.817Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3173076874 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 21:32 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.975 | $19.50 |
| 11-01 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.0038950507 | $0.07 |
| 11-01 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.2980769151 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.69 |
| 10-31 19:54 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 19:54 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 19:39 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.0778786237 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31? | SELL | 0.0583614019 | $1.28 |
| 10-31 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.82 |
| 10-31 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.71 |
| 10-31 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.248 | $6.20 |