PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

erwfas

0xcad350f1dfa03c7651fa4c5f0a5bd8d60476377f

Realised P&L
$-569.31
Volume
$22.8k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$164.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No0.9980.975$90.81$2.19
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 17? · No0.9991.000$74.04+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 10:47Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 17?BUY0.999$74.00
08-10 14:10Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 10?BUY0.998$97.00
07-13 08:32England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.53$96.46
07-07 10:18Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.998$93.00
06-04 10:22Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.5$97.50
05-26 09:12Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5BUY0.52$176.80
05-26 09:11Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5BUY0.52$160.16
05-18 09:12Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5BUY0.51$188.65
05-07 13:58Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5BUY0.52$99.62
05-07 13:54Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.998$91.00
04-13 13:29Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 13?BUY0.999$8.14
04-05 09:55Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 5?BUY0.999$3.14
04-05 09:54Capitals vs. RangersBUY0.49$2.45
03-29 10:49Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 29?BUY0.999$5.59
03-29 10:48Kings vs. NetsBUY0.51$101.49