Bi-Han2
0xcad2aa8f983bfd74a467f49d0d0e86ad5b509fc8
- Realised P&L
- $8.4k
- Volume
- $284.7k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.947 | 0.961 | $404.56 | +$5.78 |
| Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.928 | 0.977 | $326.02 | +$16.27 |
| Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? · No | 0.890 | 0.605 | $183.54 | −$86.46 |
| Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.974 | 0.999 | $136.39 | +$3.39 |
| Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.880 | 0.999 | $133.32 | +$15.81 |
| Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.990 | 0.997 | $54.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.130 | $1.56 | +$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.549Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$2.4kat 0.192Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$1.8kat 0.613Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$1.7kat 0.680Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$750.18at 0.485Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 22:57 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.592 | $8.12 |
| 06-22 20:25 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5559999644 | $3.00 |
| 06-22 20:17 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 20:05 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.9914051565 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 19:40 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.9689999971 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 19:35 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.9429999943 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 19:35 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.949999962 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 23:11 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.022 | $61.11 |
| 06-14 19:22 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999994 | $30.00 |
| 06-14 17:35 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999991 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 09:09 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR? | BUY | 0.0934385708 | $1.12 |
| 06-05 06:18 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.4079999727 | $8.36 |
| 06-05 06:17 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? | BUY | 0.4928666614 | $10.06 |
| 06-05 05:47 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.4009999855 | $6.57 |
| 06-05 05:46 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.387 | $40.25 |