0xCAcA98a78474497b2878Cf40265D0755802AF9F2-1780202875563
0xcaca98a78474497b2878cf40265d0755802af9f2
- Realised P&L
- $200.40
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $66.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.038 | $33.98 | +$1.72 |
| Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.105 | $17.37 | −$0.23 |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat · Heat | 0.510 | 0.510 | $15.30 | +$0.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.417 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.18 |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Heat vs. Magic · Heat | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.89at 0.115Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$35.95at 0.362Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$14.61at 0.123Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$11.67at 0.634Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
- +$11.41at 0.726Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 13:20 | Heat vs. Magic | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 10-16 13:19 | Celtics vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 13:17 | Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |
| 10-16 13:16 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.039 | $4.29 |
| 10-09 02:21 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 12:21 | Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 00:14 | Heat vs. Raptors | SELL | 0.88 | $25.88 |
| 10-03 09:24 | Heat vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 09:24 | Heat vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 09:23 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.031 | $3.41 |
| 08-25 18:33 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.56 |
| 08-25 18:29 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.032 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 03:07 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0389999923 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 14:00 | Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.00 |
| 07-17 13:58 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0339999936 | $5.00 |