thebesttrad
0xcac10fc70b7bd9a79b57e5b71be4c8eaf873236e
- Realised P&L
- $-547.50
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 595
- Open portfolio
- $25.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded595
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? · Down | 0.969 | 0.480 | $25.27 | −$25.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.91at 0.232Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
- +$32.89at 0.825Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
- +$31.49at 0.693Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
- +$30.75at 0.663Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner
- +$24.56at 0.803Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 19:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.9686046487 | $51.00 |
| 09-17 14:05 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8299999978 | $30.00 |
| 08-16 20:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 20:08 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 20:03 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.829999982 | $6.00 |
| 07-22 20:02 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.8469999886 | $6.00 |
| 07-21 19:42 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 22:15 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.9376558589 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 22:15 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $14.00 |
| 07-19 22:14 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.829999982 | $6.00 |
| 07-19 21:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.92 | $7.66 |
| 07-18 06:46 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $5.85 |
| 07-13 18:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 16:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $6.08 |