PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcab7806828402636d287149e85cc6c4524fb9232

0xcab7806828402636d287149e85cc6c4524fb9232

Realised P&L
$13.07
Volume
$260.40
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$10.26

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No0.5900.993$1.68+$0.68
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.4600.605$1.32+$0.32
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.5600.685$1.22+$0.22
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.845$1.14+$0.14
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.4600.515$1.12+$0.12
Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · No0.6600.705$1.07+$0.07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No0.7200.620$0.86−$0.14
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.6800.505$0.74−$0.26
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No0.4000.275$0.69−$0.31
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.4700.195$0.41−$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 15:02Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-12 06:52Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-11 22:51Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-11 14:37Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-11 05:00Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-10 19:25Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-10 06:42Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
10-09 11:55Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-09 03:53S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?BUY0.84$1.00
10-08 19:53Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
10-08 05:14WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-07 17:12Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-07 04:51SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-06 20:50Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-06 12:50Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00