0xcab7806828402636d287149e85cc6c4524fb9232
0xcab7806828402636d287149e85cc6c4524fb9232
- Realised P&L
- $13.07
- Volume
- $260.40
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $10.26
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.993 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.605 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.685 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.845 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.515 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · No | 0.660 | 0.705 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.620 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.505 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.275 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.195 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.67at 0.247Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.268Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$4.03at 0.270US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.79at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 28 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 15:02 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:52 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:51 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:37 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:00 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:25 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:42 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:55 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:53 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:53 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 05:14 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:12 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:50 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |