An0n420
0xcab4b99908490c3cca568ebaead5e5f905819067
- Realised P&L
- $-902.23
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $96.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.015 | $82.22 | −$3.83 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.116 | $13.84 | −$22.12 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$535.00 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? · No | 0.536 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$360.65 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.22at 0.480Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:50 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2999999992 | $35.96 |
| 04-16 13:59 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179721913 | $16.16 |
| 04-16 13:57 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.51 |
| 04-08 05:43 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.30 |
| 04-08 05:41 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.015 | $2.49 |
| 04-07 19:55 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | SELL | 0.5017784101 | $28.21 |
| 04-07 19:55 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BUY | 0.48 | $26.99 |
| 04-07 19:50 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BUY | 0.52 | $68.16 |
| 04-01 09:42 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0163314384 | $12.61 |
| 03-27 19:58 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 03-27 19:37 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $450.00 |
| 03-27 10:27 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $450.00 |
| 03-27 06:38 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0186378471 | $25.81 |
| 03-25 13:47 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $320.00 |
| 03-23 01:38 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0126912442 | $0.55 |