frankevans-841
0xcaaf7d54cf8e0c831ba2d9f490a7c633974eb2e3
- Realised P&L
- $21.71
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $31.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? · No | 0.750 | 0.735 | $18.28 | −$0.37 |
| Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No | 0.708 | 1.000 | $13.52 | +$3.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.61at 0.620Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 12?
- +$5.12at 0.952Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.71at 0.880Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.60at 0.985Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.29at 0.988Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:44 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999821 | $12.76 |
| 01-30 17:14 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.45 |
| 01-30 17:07 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9989999857 | $13.79 |
| 01-30 15:12 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.98 |
| 01-30 12:54 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $61.47 |
| 12-30 18:34 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.59 |
| 12-30 17:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.81 |
| 12-30 11:53 | Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.51 |
| 12-30 00:04 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999999 | $19.71 |
| 12-29 20:34 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $26.41 |
| 12-29 19:39 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $41.43 |
| 10-31 16:28 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999857 | $19.70 |
| 10-31 15:28 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.13 |
| 10-30 18:53 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $26.32 |
| 09-29 19:14 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9939999997 | $13.06 |