dahai114
0xcaacc52e6c8a56143ceb668cdb68d3e6f089c198
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $142.1k
- Markets traded
- 350
- Open portfolio
- $170.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded350
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.850 | $105.19 | +$6.19 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.755 | 0.489 | $64.22 | −$34.79 |
| Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.417 | $1.48 | −$0.12 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.10 on July 24? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.00 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.40 on August 23? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.99 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 31-September 6? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? · No | 0.431 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $75 on July 24? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
| Will XRP reach $1.25 on August 20? · No | 0.688 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 24? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$407.83at 0.447Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 31?
- +$246.86at 0.771Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?
- +$217.39at 0.868Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 16?
- +$206.42at 0.523Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9?
- +$203.26at 0.688Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.7546950724 | $99.00 |
| 09-19 15:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $99.00 |
| 09-19 15:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.715 | $423.25 |
| 09-19 14:21 | Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.4509999797 | $1.60 |
| 09-19 14:20 | Will XRP reach $1.45 on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.68 |
| 09-19 13:11 | Will XRP reach $1.45 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9299999822 | $1.57 |
| 09-19 13:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.60 |
| 09-19 01:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? | BUY | 0.709999894 | $1.54 |
| 09-19 00:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.639627839 | $378.64 |
| 09-18 13:50 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.5999999991 | $134.39 |
| 09-18 13:49 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.6 | $99.00 |
| 09-17 01:44 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.7716786681 | $185.47 |
| 09-15 14:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.999 | $113.68 |
| 09-15 14:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8899999993 | $66.82 |
| 09-15 14:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $67.38 |