PolyBot

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Traders

0xcaac2be45933eeb434f0bb79716c745f7a7b488b

0xcaac2be45933eeb434f0bb79716c745f7a7b488b

Realised P&L
$0.11
Volume
$315.37
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$11.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.2201.000$4.54+$3.54
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.4401.000$2.27+$1.27
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · No0.7000.981$1.40+$0.40
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? · Up0.7401.000$1.35+$0.35
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.5600.520$0.93−$0.07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.610$0.82−$0.18
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes0.4100.023$0.06−$0.94
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.3600.001$0.00−$1.00
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.7000.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 15:27Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-09 05:15SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.74$1.00
10-08 21:15Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
10-08 13:08WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?BUY0.6689999177$1.00
10-08 03:58WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-07 18:22Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-07 10:20Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-07 02:19Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-06 18:18Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-06 09:53Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-06 01:49Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-05 16:13Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-05 03:56Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-04 19:47Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-02 14:16Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00