0xcaac2be45933eeb434f0bb79716c745f7a7b488b
0xcaac2be45933eeb434f0bb79716c745f7a7b488b
- Realised P&L
- $0.11
- Volume
- $315.37
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $11.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.220 | 1.000 | $4.54 | +$3.54 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.440 | 1.000 | $2.27 | +$1.27 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.981 | $1.40 | +$0.40 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? · Up | 0.740 | 1.000 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.520 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.610 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.023 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.92at 0.260US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$3.32at 0.237S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$2.95at 0.259Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 15:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 05:15 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:15 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:08 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8? | BUY | 0.6689999177 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:58 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:22 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:19 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:18 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 09:53 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 01:49 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:13 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 03:56 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 19:47 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:16 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |