78990
0xcaa647c7f14eff6a82c5c1c3441b863cf69d463d
- Realised P&L
- $-415.91
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $72.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.41at 0.715Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on February 11?
- +$76.33at 0.770Red Star FC vs. Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC: O/U 3.5
- +$76.23at 0.780Hull City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5
- +$71.05at 0.760Celtic FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 4.5
- +$69.33at 0.752Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 03:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.94 | $13.14 |
| 06-02 10:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5? | BUY | 0.9679999984 | $14.33 |
| 06-02 07:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5? | BUY | 0.9769999987 | $14.33 |
| 06-02 06:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5? | BUY | 0.976 | $14.33 |
| 03-23 17:16 | Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.12 | $79.78 |
| 03-22 10:20 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27? | BUY | 0.21 | $79.70 |
| 03-17 03:30 | SC Paderborn 07 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.23 | $91.89 |
| 03-05 07:36 | CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $81.62 |
| 02-19 16:30 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be less than 2,000,000? | BUY | 0.025 | $6.24 |
| 02-18 04:46 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 18? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.29 |
| 02-17 09:55 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $7.00? | BUY | 0.041 | $5.99 |
| 02-16 17:24 | Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-19? | BUY | 0.037 | $8.06 |
| 02-16 15:42 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $155? | BUY | 0.047 | $9.73 |
| 02-16 03:17 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 14,500,000 and 15,000,000? | BUY | 0.035 | $5.04 |
| 02-15 19:27 | Will "Is It Cake? Valentines" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.027 | $3.88 |