0xcaa24a881f55b474fa3cd0ef615284a7b4b2e3dd
0xcaa24a881f55b474fa3cd0ef615284a7b4b2e3dd
- Realised P&L
- $-12.73
- Volume
- $184.89
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $1.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.165 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.170 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.10at 0.310US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.84at 0.379WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$3.24at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$2.34at 0.500Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:58 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:18 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:11 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 11:31 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:12 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:19 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:10 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:59 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:20 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:16 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2389999668 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:42 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:42 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:42 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |