PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

luciokaz

0xca9fde5ce7ade1619040d8325aa7f0c9ba096be1

Realised P&L
$-6.92
Volume
$333.26
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$7.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 16:14Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 6?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-05 16:14Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 6?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-05 16:14Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 6?BUY0.16$1.00
10-05 16:12Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?BUY0.1$1.00
10-05 16:12Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6?BUY0.1214953157$1.00
10-05 16:11Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-05 16:02Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5?BUY0.9$1.00
10-05 13:52Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 5?BUY0.8979999605$1.00
10-05 13:48Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 5?BUY0.8389999446$1.00
10-05 00:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.151715$3.03
10-04 21:29Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.15$3.00
10-04 19:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.8299999087$1.00
10-04 18:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-04 18:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.8799999648$1.00
10-04 18:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.95$1.00