luciokaz
0xca9fde5ce7ade1619040d8325aa7f0c9ba096be1
- Realised P&L
- $-6.92
- Volume
- $333.26
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $7.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.45at 0.695Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4?
- +$0.24at 0.808Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?
- +$0.13at 0.885Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 3?
- +$0.07at 0.934Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$0.05at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.1214953157 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.8979999605 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.8389999446 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.151715 | $3.03 |
| 10-04 21:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 18:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 18:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 18:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |