0xCa8Ab1E58ca84F4F70F8b51f3F742e160d5f15f7-1770534070402
0xca8ab1e58ca84f4f70f8b51f3f742e160d5f15f7
- Realised P&L
- $-207.59
- Volume
- $33.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $574.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.959 | 0.835 | $417.50 | −$62.00 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.719 | 0.157 | $157.00 | −$562.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$258.04at 0.742Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- +$208.86at 0.718Pharos FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$113.00at 0.774Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?
- +$83.08at 0.882Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- +$55.53at 0.938Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 01:48 | o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.979315 | $979.32 |
| 05-22 03:36 | Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.9936602476 | $500.00 |
| 05-21 18:37 | Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 05-16 00:19 | MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9 | $160.22 |
| 05-09 05:47 | Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98975 | $98.98 |
| 05-08 17:47 | Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $495.50 |
| 05-06 10:44 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $360.00 |
| 05-06 10:43 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71810562 | $359.05 |
| 05-05 07:16 | Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 04-28 10:29 | Pharos FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $432.80 |
| 04-27 15:44 | Pharos FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92994 | $460.28 |
| 04-25 07:41 | Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 04-23 11:24 | Fluent FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9631174 | $47.90 |
| 04-22 18:57 | USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 04-22 18:57 | USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |