Abigail9875
0xca7f89bde43abeb9277b91e6bb31013184f30fd6
- Realised P&L
- $4.70
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 437
- Open portfolio
- $39.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded437
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 12? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $24.49 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $15.19 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.35at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
- +$0.22at 0.998Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?
- +$0.21at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
- +$0.21at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$0.15at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 09:23 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.50 |
| 10-12 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.20 |
| 10-11 21:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9979999174 | $8.80 |
| 10-11 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.83 |
| 10-10 09:45 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $13.80 |
| 10-07 19:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.40 |
| 10-05 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.9986057163 | $23.20 |
| 10-02 01:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $10.90 |
| 10-01 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.70 |
| 10-01 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.90 |
| 09-28 02:04 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.80 |
| 09-27 19:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.30 |
| 09-23 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on September 24? | BUY | 0.9979999793 | $13.90 |
| 09-23 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.80 |
| 09-22 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.70 |