MisterGold
0xca7537c322e5e32f892ba530a689783bee606c97
- Realised P&L
- $-604.02
- Volume
- $35.8k
- Markets traded
- 805
- Open portfolio
- $2.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded805
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.005 | $2.79 | −$8.58 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$285.00at 0.240Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
- +$194.27at 0.170Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$190.91at 0.440Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?
- +$157.74at 0.526Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?
- +$97.15at 0.340Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 03:57 | Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0224218053 | $11.37 |
| 07-15 03:57 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.039 | $1.02 |
| 07-15 03:57 | Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | SELL | 0.0137621951 | $0.72 |
| 07-15 03:57 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.201 | $2.23 |
| 07-15 03:57 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.64 |
| 07-15 03:57 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.416 | $4.42 |
| 06-24 13:47 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.1699999969 | $39.32 |
| 06-24 13:46 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5399999943 | $40.00 |
| 06-23 16:15 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |
| 06-23 02:59 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.197999949 | $3.00 |
| 06-23 02:57 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 02:57 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999821 | $2.94 |
| 06-23 02:57 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0679999383 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 01:54 | Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 01:53 | Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 3.5 Corners | BUY | 0.4699999558 | $2.98 |