xwhale92
0xca69a664b5b47f424ef977c877e546387ed8afcc
- Realised P&L
- $-54.53
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $623.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.66at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 30?
- +$17.16at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?
- +$9.76at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 1?
- +$7.73at 0.817Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 1?
- +$6.73at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.3 | $11.24 |
| 10-01 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.5649370526 | $22.89 |
| 10-01 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.5910517459 | $28.10 |
| 10-01 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.67 | $11.38 |
| 10-01 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.5583752094 | $3.33 |
| 10-01 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.63 |
| 10-01 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.6719098549 | $17.59 |
| 10-01 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.55 | $14.28 |
| 10-01 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.741 | $7.84 |
| 09-30 23:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.9903320053 | $14.91 |
| 09-30 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.7032047992 | $101.40 |
| 09-30 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.4304527559 | $32.80 |
| 09-30 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.2577 | $16.75 |
| 09-30 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.246637931 | $14.30 |
| 09-30 23:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.41 | $5.41 |