wthrme
0xca68f4bb5899330ee7aea45fdf34e1545ea01976
- Realised P&L
- $-523.09
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $0.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$3.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29? · No | 0.876 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$299.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? · No | 0.383 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$299.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.10at 0.607Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on October 1?
- +$21.76at 0.693Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 1?
- +$5.39at 0.902Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 1?
- +$5.21at 0.660Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 30?
- +$4.58at 0.973Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.9571033664 | $49.93 |
| 10-01 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.9380761264 | $49.93 |
| 10-01 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9774207512 | $49.93 |
| 10-01 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.9545722218 | $49.93 |
| 09-30 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.6819853678 | $49.93 |
| 09-30 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on October 1? | BUY | 0.5952603892 | $49.93 |
| 09-30 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9419999996 | $49.93 |
| 09-30 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.897460768 | $49.93 |
| 09-30 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9522069028 | $49.93 |
| 09-30 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $49.93 |
| 09-30 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.6489999938 | $9.98 |
| 09-30 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.98 |
| 09-29 19:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9632478096 | $49.93 |
| 09-29 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.54 |