PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

wthrme

0xca68f4bb5899330ee7aea45fdf34e1545ea01976

Realised P&L
$-523.09
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$0.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 1? · Yes0.0740.001$0.03−$3.67
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 30? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29? · No0.8760.000$0.00−$299.58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? · No0.3830.000$0.00−$299.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 04:50Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 1?BUY0.9571033664$49.93
10-01 04:50Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 1?BUY0.9380761264$49.93
10-01 04:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.9774207512$49.93
10-01 03:50Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 1?BUY0.9545722218$49.93
09-30 23:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.6819853678$49.93
09-30 23:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on October 1?BUY0.5952603892$49.93
09-30 23:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.9419999996$49.93
09-30 23:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.897460768$49.93
09-30 22:01Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.9522069028$49.93
09-30 22:01Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.97$49.93
09-30 09:13Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 1?SELL0.4$10.00
09-30 04:50Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 30?BUY0.6489999938$9.98
09-30 04:50Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on September 30?BUY0.95$9.98
09-29 19:00Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 30?BUY0.9632478096$49.93
09-29 16:39Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 30?BUY0.004$0.54