0xCa68373eFD4B7A5e6a1964D34355bC2B3420BD3A-1771810618622
0xca68373efd4b7a5e6a1964d34355bc2b3420bd3a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $620.2k
- Markets traded
- 893
- Open portfolio
- $121.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded893
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$284.21at 0.054Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on August 30?
- +$260.52at 0.045Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 25?
- +$245.81at 0.171Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 7?
- +$232.47at 0.090Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 11?
- +$223.92at 0.082Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 16:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20? | BUY | 0.1009999976 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 16:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 16:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20? | BUY | 0.1029999997 | $28.00 |
| 09-19 16:31 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.0585802522 | $37.99 |
| 09-19 16:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20? | BUY | 0.091752368 | $16.54 |
| 09-19 16:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.1 | $12.00 |
| 09-19 16:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $38.80 |
| 09-19 16:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20? | BUY | 0.068780026 | $22.50 |
| 09-18 23:42 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0479999995 | $1.70 |
| 09-18 23:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 19? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 23:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 19? | BUY | 0.0389999998 | $4.66 |
| 09-18 23:16 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0479999996 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 19:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 19? | BUY | 0.093 | $40.50 |
| 09-18 19:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $8.00 |