0xCa68373eFD4B7A5e6a1964D34355bC2B3420BD3A-1771810618622
0xca68373efd4b7a5e6a1964d34355bc2b3420bd3a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $524.2k
- Markets traded
- 737
- Open portfolio
- $30.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded737
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$273.88at 0.042Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 25?
- +$249.22at 0.162Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 7?
- +$238.88at 0.077Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?
- +$234.00at 0.084Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 11?
- +$213.68at 0.120Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0279999918 | $3.23 |
| 08-04 20:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.035 | $2.19 |
| 08-04 20:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.0033676285 | $1.39 |
| 08-04 16:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.84 |
| 08-04 16:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.1338446454 | $19.57 |
| 08-04 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.1100371513 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.1383076923 | $26.97 |
| 08-04 04:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0699999823 | $3.48 |
| 08-04 04:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.1199999748 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 04:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.0352156515 | $22.00 |
| 08-04 04:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $5.44 |
| 08-04 04:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.1203341346 | $2.77 |
| 08-04 04:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0128616455 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 04:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $29.07 |
| 08-04 04:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $32.50 |