ionpop
0xca680f17e828e432cfdb21fd78f971f2a65b222a
- Realised P&L
- $18.6k
- Volume
- $83.2k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $65.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar22.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.3kat 0.347Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$84.00at 0.160Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$12.50at 0.160Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$2.24at 0.680US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.64at 0.830Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 03:41 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 03:40 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 03:40 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 08:37 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 08:37 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 08:37 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 08:36 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7989999873 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 12:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.76 |
| 08-12 10:53 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.40 |
| 08-11 14:10 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.52 |
| 08-11 12:35 | Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? | SELL | 0.971 | $9.77 |
| 08-11 12:35 | Will Peggy Flanagan win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary? | SELL | 0.982 | $4.91 |
| 08-11 00:12 | Will Peggy Flanagan win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary? | BUY | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 08-11 00:10 | Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.99 |
| 08-10 01:09 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |