PolyBot

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Traders

ionpop

0xca680f17e828e432cfdb21fd78f971f2a65b222a

Realised P&L
$18.5k
Volume
$83.2k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$7.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar22.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election? · No0.9400.915$7.79−$0.21
Shyndel Oleksii vs. Krol Yan · Shyndel Oleksii0.9900.000$0.00−$4.95
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$8.00
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? · No0.7580.000$0.00−$28.00
Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4190.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the US lose jobs in July? · No0.9700.000$0.00−$9.98
Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? · No0.8400.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Philip Sarnecki win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 10%? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.66
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$5.00
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will AD San Carlos vs. Escorpiones de Belén end in a draw? · No0.9390.000$0.00−$4.98
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$1.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 03:41Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
08-29 03:40Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
08-29 03:40Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?BUY0.64$10.00
08-28 08:37Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
08-28 08:37Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
08-28 08:37Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
08-28 08:36Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7989999873$10.00
08-12 12:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.68$4.76
08-12 10:53US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.8$4.40
08-11 14:10US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.64$3.52
08-11 12:35Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?SELL0.971$9.77
08-11 12:35Will Peggy Flanagan win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?SELL0.982$4.91
08-11 00:12Will Peggy Flanagan win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?BUY0.991$4.96
08-11 00:10Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?BUY0.993$9.99
08-10 01:09Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 25, 2026?BUY0.9199999963$10.00