0xCA6532a981c34decB03f6F7bC37C663D2A9bf06F-1778613299237
0xca6532a981c34decb03f6f7bc37c663d2a9bf06f
- Realised P&L
- $-108.18
- Volume
- $28.6k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $0.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.55at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 31?
- +$8.06at 0.389Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?
- +$6.72at 0.769Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?
- +$6.09at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?
- +$5.08at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.5638888585 | $7.00 |
| 10-18 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0069861674 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0135396518 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0673318424 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.4752474946 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.5117203403 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.5049504841 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0214007781 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.5544554049 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0520465397 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.545 | $5.45 |
| 10-18 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.045507947 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.9420268558 | $37.18 |
| 10-16 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $30.00 |