cao1cao
0xca6420fe6f9f124ff3b3f0cd38ea6abc6d59df74
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $108.0k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $485.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.006 | $485.12 | −$504.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.9kat 0.120Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 23:47 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006999999 | $7.22 |
| 05-18 01:21 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $8.00 |
| 03-02 00:20 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0169585601 | $25.12 |
| 02-25 02:39 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $300.00 |
| 02-25 02:39 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0154158397 | $350.00 |
| 11-06 06:22 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $66.40 |
| 11-06 03:09 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $2.0k |