PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

realisim

0xca58fe8fbbe4abd412f0f41f166b2aa62654e7c4

Realised P&L
$-124.58
Volume
$293.94
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-42.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00−$2.51
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00−$3.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Germany? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$2.00
Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Clara Burel · Alicia Herrero Linana0.5990.000$0.00−$70.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 16:57Netherlands leading at halftime?BUY0.3299999815$5.00
09-23 16:56Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Germany?BUY0.0899999969$2.00
09-23 16:55Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.4$10.00
09-20 16:56Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Clara BurelBUY0.5987170332$70.00
09-20 15:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.6299998362$1.00