realisim
0xca58fe8fbbe4abd412f0f41f166b2aa62654e7c4
- Realised P&L
- $-124.58
- Volume
- $293.94
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-42.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.64at 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
- +$3.66at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$0.56at 0.646Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 16:57 | Netherlands leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 16:56 | Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Germany? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 16:55 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 16:56 | Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Clara Burel | BUY | 0.5987170332 | $70.00 |
| 09-20 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |