jellybelly42
0xca4a9fda2455a7de779933884eaaf86ea15b0f90
- Realised P&L
- $14.06
- Volume
- $359.72
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $16.18
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs · LOUD | 0.440 | 0.430 | $4.89 | −$0.11 |
| LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs · BOMBA Team | 0.470 | 0.475 | $3.84 | +$0.04 |
| Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) · Natus Vincere | 0.540 | 0.535 | $2.67 | −$0.03 |
| Games Total: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.361 | 0.345 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.77 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Game Handicap: FUE (-2.5) vs 9z Globant (+2.5) · 9z Globant | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.95 |
| LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner · Verdant | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.91 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Up | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.16at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
- +$5.30at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$4.61at 0.522LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner
- +$4.10at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$1.76at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $3.39 |
| 09-16 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.229999987 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $6.35 |
| 09-16 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999609 | $5.94 |
| 09-16 23:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 23:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 23:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999955 | $4.77 |
| 09-16 23:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999746 | $2.68 |
| 09-16 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $2.80 |
| 09-16 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998812 | $1.78 |
| 09-16 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $4.94 |
| 09-16 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.80 |
| 09-16 22:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999883 | $1.75 |