PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

a5658mn

0xca45f23b4ecce01925c86aa58c82d09eec4a49ae

Realised P&L
$103.06
Volume
$20.7k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$2.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.090$0.75−$1.25
Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7300.530$0.73−$0.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.365$0.72−$0.28
Will Solana reach $250 in August? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00−$2.00
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.2700.000$0.00−$6.00
Cavaliers vs. Raptors · Cavaliers0.6200.000$0.00−$5.00
Celtics vs. Spurs · Celtics0.4390.000$0.00−$10.00
Senators vs. Oilers · Senators0.8600.000$0.00−$50.00
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Jessica Pegula0.8100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 03:40Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-31 15:27Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-03 04:51Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra EalaBUY0.8099999757$1.00
07-25 07:18KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan BearsBUY0.579999826$1.00
06-28 08:48Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.719999856$1.00
05-31 05:09Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
05-18 05:55Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.3299998927$2.00
05-18 05:54Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?SELL0.13$4.65
05-16 06:28Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?BUY0.1367891575$9.79
04-30 10:58Cavaliers vs. RaptorsBUY0.6199999628$5.00
04-13 02:53Avalanche vs. FlamesBUY0.64$5.00
03-15 08:32Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?BUY0.449999955$5.00
03-15 08:32Nuggets vs. GrizzliesSELL0.22$4.94
03-10 07:44Celtics vs. SpursBUY0.4390004433$10.00
03-07 05:14Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri TigersBUY0.4606759153$49.57