0xCDB92db168065E4f1f7734130d3193e1b48A56E8-1765802986141
0xca43585684bcaa0cbfc4e165ddea16b63c160dde
- Realised P&L
- $-51.56
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $6.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chicago Stars FC win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.045 | $3.25 | −$1.75 |
| Will Charlton Athletic win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.026 | $1.99 | −$1.01 |
| Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.021 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.04at 0.542England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$27.22at 0.427Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
- +$23.64at 0.507Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$17.06at 0.642Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$16.58at 0.552Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 06:05 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:58 | Will Charlton Athletic win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.0399334443 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 17:57 | Will Chicago Stars FC win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.0691713272 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 17:42 | Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 17:41 | Will Andorra vs. Malta end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1666666667 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 15:19 | Will China PR win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 15:18 | Will China PR win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:07 | Will Maldives win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.0151933701 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:36 | Will Wales win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 09:35 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 11:02 | Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.0195239412 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 10:59 | Will Colombia win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.024160964 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 08:57 | XRP Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.0624503741 | $9.00 |
| 07-23 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 23? | SELL | 0.2943393602 | $14.81 |
| 07-22 19:47 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5029999929 | $10.00 |