crispy-avocado
0xca3f77cb090cf7cbcf48bcf865e8f27364418078
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $35.11M
- Markets traded
- 2,271
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,271
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Women's Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Ena Shibahara · Moyuka Uchijima | 0.508 | 0.505 | $1.0k | −$5.97 |
| Guangzhou 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida · Zhizhen Zhang | 0.860 | 0.978 | $488.75 | +$58.75 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.610 | 0.540 | $270.00 | −$35.00 |
| Japan Women's Open: Kayla Day vs Kimberly Birrell · Kimberly Birrell | 0.570 | 0.505 | $252.50 | −$32.50 |
| Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? · No | 0.390 | 0.435 | $217.50 | +$22.50 |
| Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez · Pierre-Hugues Herbert | 0.560 | 0.575 | $130.20 | +$3.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.8kat 0.170Commanders vs. Chiefs
- +$9.2kat 0.250Giants vs. Patriots
- +$9.0kat 0.300Buccaneers vs. Lions
- +$8.0kat 0.100Cavaliers vs. Wizards
- +$7.9kat 0.120Colts vs. Seahawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:55 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.4225 | $0.32 |
| 07-19 18:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.42 |
| 07-19 18:54 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.4225 | $0.42 |
| 07-19 18:54 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.89 |
| 07-19 18:54 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.4225 | $0.32 |
| 07-19 18:54 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.42 |
| 07-19 18:53 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.4225 | $0.32 |
| 07-19 18:53 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.42 |
| 07-19 18:53 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.89 |
| 07-19 18:53 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.4225 | $0.42 |
| 07-19 18:52 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.42 |
| 07-19 18:52 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.4225 | $0.32 |
| 07-19 18:52 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.42 |
| 07-19 18:52 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.4225 | $0.32 |
| 07-19 18:51 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.4225 | $0.42 |