Louieboy
0xca3cb79e0ca2731e4f860c2737e5e93fcb82a13b
- Realised P&L
- $-448.32
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $30.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.225 | $30.81 | +$11.64 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.28 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.74 |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-23? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$128.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.83at 0.560Will Trump say "El Salvador" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?
- +$52.97at 0.470Will Trump say "Judge" during his Cabinet Meeting on April 30?
- +$46.94at 0.567Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?
- +$32.27at 0.477Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$29.66at 0.710India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 18:16 | Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East? | BUY | 0.1399999942 | $19.17 |
| 06-04 20:21 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | SELL | 0.2 | $20.48 |
| 06-01 20:11 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2599999893 | $17.07 |
| 06-01 20:10 | Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.25 | $17.78 |
| 06-01 20:09 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2599999958 | $32.46 |
| 06-01 19:39 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.2765709557 | $33.42 |
| 05-23 21:48 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-23? | BUY | 0.329999999 | $128.96 |
| 05-23 21:03 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23? | SELL | 0.99 | $132.00 |
| 05-23 20:51 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23? | BUY | 0.8099999992 | $108.00 |
| 05-23 20:42 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $108.65 |
| 05-23 17:15 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.5599999967 | $60.91 |
| 05-22 14:43 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.4699999948 | $29.03 |
| 05-22 14:37 | Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2599999918 | $18.49 |
| 05-22 14:31 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0889999986 | $55.28 |
| 05-22 14:27 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.2699999959 | $32.63 |