PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xca3b1EeDD50F898FEC204df76E8e8fdD55253534-1764708084512

0xca3b1eedd50f898fec204df76e8e8fdd55253534

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$16.2k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$393.38

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04? · Yes0.4300.465$108.14+$8.14
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7200.715$99.31−$0.69
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08? · Yes0.7950.695$87.42−$12.58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5580.650$69.89+$9.89
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.305$12.50−$12.50
Will Portugal win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.1000.085$8.50−$1.50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1900.165$4.34−$0.66
Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0070.002$2.14−$7.86
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0900.055$1.15−$0.73
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: Team to Advance · FC St. Gallen0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$22.40
Will Braga reach the UEFA Europa League final? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$29.04
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-10? · Yes0.6310.000$0.00−$48.39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.3760.000$0.00−$20.00
Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-08? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:51Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?BUY0.4299999991$100.00
11-01 21:49Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7199999994$100.00
10-28 18:28Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5399999976$50.00
10-26 22:55Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?BUY0.7950191555$100.00
10-26 22:54Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.8099999993$100.00
10-26 18:47Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.931$51.72
10-25 21:40Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.4149418571$10.00
10-25 21:15Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.2399999923$5.00
10-25 21:12Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-10-25?SELL0.23$16.43
10-24 21:21Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-10-26?BUY0.1$5.00
10-24 21:20Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
10-24 21:19Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1799999986$10.00
10-21 21:03Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-10-22?BUY0.1$3.66
10-21 13:58Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
10-21 13:56Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.0899999995$1.88