PolyBot

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Traders

0xB17dA27B24510076115E750f2B8f618Cb43856f9

0xca32458e2155098f7735bf5e8bd6b675c80c2c78

Realised P&L
$8.42
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$500.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9040.945$59.16+$2.54
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9550.975$42.88+$0.85
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe · No0.9760.978$42.03+$0.08
EU dissolves before 2027? · No0.9540.978$40.10+$0.97
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day? · No0.9941.000$38.00+$0.23
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$37.26+$0.71
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · No0.9810.984$27.54+$0.08
US defaults on debt by 2027? · No0.9640.971$26.20+$0.18
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9970.998$18.95+$0.01
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9800.987$18.55+$0.12
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9100.970$18.42+$1.13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8800.961$18.25+$1.53
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9500.958$18.19+$0.14
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8500.935$16.83+$1.53
Fed abolished before 2027? · No0.9760.980$16.66+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-08 04:03Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeBUY0.978$17.60
02-06 07:57Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.957$17.23
02-06 07:52China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.91$17.29
01-31 05:13Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.994$18.89
01-31 05:13Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.994$18.89
01-29 03:54Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.88$16.72
01-27 08:25Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?BUY0.985$16.75
01-25 19:45Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.958$16.29
01-23 14:20Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.85$15.30
01-22 07:42Fed abolished before 2027?BUY0.976$16.59
01-20 08:41EU dissolves before 2027?BUY0.944$15.10
01-18 05:46Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.95$18.05
01-16 11:23Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.997$18.94
01-15 08:50US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.79$13.43
01-14 04:54Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.972$17.50