0xca2e423649840a16a265475db0787d1daebb29be
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $61.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.350 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats? · No | 0.760 | 0.735 | $9.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.175 | $9.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? · No | 0.720 | 0.655 | $9.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.425 | $8.85 | −$1.15 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? · No | 0.200 | 0.185 | $4.63 | −$0.38 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 20:36 | Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:36 | Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.1844660171 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:24 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |