ADRIANB-689
0xca2da896523987f849429ea75681dd13e7e16fce
- Realised P&L
- $-19.31
- Volume
- $315.19
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $41.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.295 | $41.68 | −$8.32 |
| Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.31 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 15:57 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3538705655 | $50.00 |
| 02-10 01:13 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999807 | $9.31 |
| 02-10 01:09 | Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |