PolyBot

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Traders

laura11

0xca2c696e93063abe2fcfabe8da78efaff90aa5e1

Realised P&L
$128.17
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$56.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? · No0.7000.810$30.75+$4.18
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? · Yes0.7300.855$14.28+$2.09
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? · No0.6200.535$11.00−$1.75
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5 · Under0.5700.000$0.00−$24.62
China Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik · Jakub Mensik0.6400.000$0.00−$21.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:01Will Chainlink hit $15 in January?BUY0.999$8.60
01-30 16:55Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January?BUY0.999$7.85
01-30 15:47Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$9.10
01-30 15:22Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?BUY0.9989999774$32.24
01-30 13:17Will Chainlink hit $15 in January?BUY0.998$32.87
12-30 12:01US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY0.999$2.64
12-30 10:29Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?BUY0.999$2.47
12-30 10:03Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.998$9.00
12-30 08:09Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?BUY0.9979999786$16.38
12-29 23:30Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.9949999904$38.87
12-29 22:15Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999903$20.78
10-31 15:07Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$22.53
10-31 14:50Will Solana dip to $150 in October?BUY0.998$28.41
09-29 13:06Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?BUY0.9949999256$12.50
09-29 12:18Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?BUY0.9989999412$13.21