lavishswog
0xca2bc26fe3c8899616987bf0a1e078cc5ad33489
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $265.0k
- Markets traded
- 6,455
- Open portfolio
- $164.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,455
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$307.36at 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27?
- +$294.03at 0.407Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5
- +$240.94at 0.347Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
- +$215.74at 0.031Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?
- +$206.16at 0.189Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 13:22 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 26? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.05 |
| 09-26 13:11 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 26? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.86 |
| 09-26 12:56 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 26? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.17 |
| 09-26 05:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 26? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 09-26 04:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 09-26 04:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-26 04:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-26 04:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-26 04:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-26 03:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-26 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-25 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-25 18:18 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 26? | BUY | 0.43 | $10.75 |
| 09-25 15:00 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.69 |
| 09-25 14:46 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.00 |